Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001014 0.001053 0.001093 0.001137 0.001183 0.001231 0.001285
2025-09-21 0.000939 0.000995 0.001055 0.001123 0.001198 0.001279 0.001373
2025-09-28 0.000885 0.000954 0.001029 0.001116 0.001216 0.001327 0.001461
2025-10-05 0.000822 0.000897 0.000980 0.001079 0.001195 0.001328 0.001493
2025-10-12 0.000786 0.000868 0.000959 0.001071 0.001204 0.001361 0.001562
2025-10-19 0.000761 0.000848 0.000948 0.001071 0.001222 0.001404 0.001645
2025-10-26 0.000733 0.000824 0.000929 0.001061 0.001226 0.001429 0.001704
2025-11-02 0.000715 0.000810 0.000921 0.001063 0.001243 0.001470 0.001786
2025-11-09 0.000693 0.000790 0.000906 0.001055 0.001247 0.001494 0.001845
2025-11-16 0.000671 0.000769 0.000887 0.001041 0.001243 0.001505 0.001888
2025-11-23 0.000664 0.000767 0.000891 0.001056 0.001276 0.001568 0.002005
2025-11-30 0.000654 0.000759 0.000888 0.001062 0.001297 0.001615 0.002102
2025-12-07 0.000637 0.000743 0.000874 0.001053 0.001297 0.001633 0.002160
2025-12-14 0.000618 0.000725 0.000857 0.001039 0.001290 0.001641 0.002202
2025-12-21 0.000604 0.000711 0.000846 0.001031 0.001292 0.001662 0.002265
2025-12-28 0.000580 0.000684 0.000816 0.000998 0.001256 0.001625 0.002233
2026-01-04 0.000567 0.000672 0.000804 0.000990 0.001255 0.001640 0.002287
2026-01-11 0.000558 0.000664 0.000799 0.000991 0.001267 0.001673 0.002372
2026-01-18 0.000547 0.000652 0.000788 0.000982 0.001264 0.001684 0.002421
2026-01-25 0.000539 0.000646 0.000785 0.000983 0.001276 0.001720 0.002515
2026-02-01 0.000529 0.000636 0.000775 0.000976 0.001275 0.001734 0.002572
2026-02-08 0.000518 0.000624 0.000762 0.000964 0.001266 0.001735 0.002603
2026-02-15 0.000516 0.000625 0.000767 0.000977 0.001296 0.001800 0.002761